Is There Any Hidden Information in Annual Reports’ Images?

Can the number or type of images in a firm’s annual report tell us anything about the firm? Or is it just a marketing strategy that doesn’t hold any further information? With the help of novel machine learning techniques, the authors Azi Ben-Rephael, Joshua Ronen, Tavy Ronen, and Mi Zhou study this problem in their paper “Do Images Provide Relevant Information to Investors? An Exploratory Study”. It seems that the proposed metrics help to forecast some of the firms’ fundamental ratios.

Continue reading »

What Can We Learn from Insider Trading in the 18th Century?

Directors, board members, and large shareholders are just some of those who might have non-public material information about their firm. Even though this information could be easily used to profit by trading their own stocks, this insider trading behavior is strictly prohibited. But how profitable can it be? We can study insider trading in the time when it wasn’t regulated at all – in the early 1700s. The 300 hundred-year-old dataset consists of data recovered from original handwritten ledger books and transfer files of the three largest companies in the London stock market at the time. It gives us a glimpse into the evidence of how big the insider’s advantage is, and the result is quite surprising – the authors calculated their outperformance to just 7% per year.

Continue reading »

Bitcoin Returns and Volatility Predicted by Bitcoin Exchange Reserves

In the modern world full of technologies, cryptocurrencies are gaining popularity every day. The most famous cryptocurrency, bitcoin, was introduced in 2009. Ever since its launch and its subsequent success, when within a few years, its price skyrocketed, and it has been the subject of many price predicting studies. These, however, primarily focus on the market and macro factors, entirely omitting the nature of bitcoin – which is blockchain technology. In this study, authors Hoang and Baur try to capture and research this interconnection between behaviour of investors, bitcoin exchanges, and blockchain.

Continue reading »