It’s About the Price of Oil, Not ESG

The growing urgency of climate change has increased scrutiny of companies’ ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) practices. Investors are now more inclined to support firms that demonstrate strong ESG commitments, often willing to pay a green premium for sustainable investments. However, is the spread in performance between the ‘Sin’ and ‘Saint’ stocks driven by the ESG factor or some other omitted variable? The recent study by Zhan Shi and Shaojun Zhang suggests that the hidden force that may be in play is the price of the oil.

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Out-of-Sample Test of Formula Investing Strategies

Can we simplify the complexities of the stock market and distill them into a simple set of quantifiable metrics? A lot of academic papers suggest this, and they offer formulas that should make the life of a stock picker easier. Some of the most compelling methodologies within this realm are the F-Score, Magic Formula, Acquirer’s Multiple, and the Conservative Formula. These quantitative strategies are designed to identify undervalued stocks with robust fundamentals and potential for high returns. But do they really work out-of-sample? A new paper by Marcel Schwartz and Matthias X. Hanauer tries to answer this interesting question…

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Quantpedia in December 2024

Hello and Happy New Year 2025 to all!

Let’s quickly review December’s updates:

– An enhancement of the Saving Plan Analysis report
– A new Youtube video series – QuantBeats
– 9 new Quantpedia Premium strategies have been added to our database
– 8 new related research papers have been included in existing Premium strategies during the last month
– Additionally, we have produced 7 new backtests written in QuantConnect code
– 4 new blog posts that you may find interesting have been published on our Quantpedia blog in the previous month

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Top Ten Blog Posts on Quantpedia in 2024

The year 2024 is nearly behind us, so it’s an excellent time for a short recapitulation. In the previous 12 months, we have been busy again (as usual) and have published over 70 short analyses of academic papers and our own research articles. The end of the year is a good opportunity to summarize 10 of them, which were the most popular (based on the Google Analytics ranking). The top 10 is diverse, as usual; once again, we hope that you may find something you have not read yet …

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Design Choices in ML and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

For those who have not yet had the chance to read it, we recommend the latest empirical study by Minghui Chen, Matthias X. Hanauer, and Tobias Kalsbach, which shows that design choices in machine learning models, such as feature selection and hyperparameter tuning, are crucial to improving portfolio performance. Non-standard errors in machine learning predictions can lead to substantial portfolio return variations, and authors are highlighting the importance of robust model evaluation techniques.

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