{"id":696,"date":"2016-09-04T08:44:11","date_gmt":"2016-09-04T08:44:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/quantpedia.com\/?p=696"},"modified":"2025-06-04T14:10:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-04T12:10:33","slug":"effect-of-maturity-structure-of-roll-yields-in-commodity-futures-strategies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/effect-of-maturity-structure-of-roll-yields-in-commodity-futures-strategies\/","title":{"rendered":"Effect of Maturity Structure of Roll Yields in Commodity Futures Strategies"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t<strong>Related to multiple commodity futures long\/short strategies, mainly to term-structure based strategies (like #22 &#8211; Term Structure Effect in Commodities) &#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Autores: <\/strong>Ghoddusi<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>T\u00edtulo: <\/strong>Maturity Structure of Commodity Roll Strategies: Evidence from the Energy Futures<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Link:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2820228\">http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2820228<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Abstracto:<\/strong><br \/>\n\t<br \/>\n\t<font face=\"Myriad Roman, Arial, Helvetica, Sans-serif;\" size=\"2\">We investigate the maturity-structure of roll strategy returns in the energy futures markets. Our innovation is to report and analyze the risk\/return profile, the Sharpe ratio, and the asset pricing loadings of rollover strategies based on futures contracts of the same underlying commodity but with maturities between two and 12 months. We find that a conditional rollover strategy, which takes a long position in backwardation and a short position in contango, delivers the highest Sharpe ratio for all commodities. While we don&#39;t observe a significant difference in terms of asset pricing beta for different roll positions, the Sharpe ratio tends to be higher for contracts with a shorter time to maturity. We also report some distinct patterns of maturity-structure across energy commodities. Findings of the paper have implications for managing commodity-based investments.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Fragmentos destacados del art\u00edculo de investigaci\u00f3n acad\u00e9mica:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t&quot;The rollover (or roll) strategy includes entering a futures contract with a given time-to-maturity, holding the futures contracts for a certain time period (typically for one month), and then closing the position to realize the return generated by changes in the price of the underlying futures contract. The investor then opens a new futures contract position (with the same time-to-maturity as before) and repeats the strategy.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe main contribution of the current paper is to examine the performance of rollover strategies de&#xC;ned on futures contracts with di&#xB;fferent time-to-maturity or what we call maturity structure of roll yields. By allowing the investment strategy to enter and exit futures contracts beyond the front month and to hold the contract for a time shorter than its maturity, we construct the maturity structure and discuss its properties for the &#xC;ve selected commodities.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tWe document a monotonic relationship between the length of futures contracts and three key measures: the average return, the volatility of returns, and the Sharpe ratio. The results are robust for all commodities. The average return and volatility curves all decline with the length of the futures contract. However, the slope of the Sharpe ratio curve depends on the investment strategy chosen. For unconditional investment strategies the slope is positive, meaning that the further into the future the maturity date of the futures contracts, the higher is the Sharpe ratio. The relationship gets reversed when the investment position is conditioned on the slope of the forward curve.&quot;<\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-854363cc-8450-4dc0-a06a-c737766e9431\"><strong>\u00bfBuscas m\u00e1s estrategias para leer? <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/sign-up-for-our-newsletter\/\">Suscr\u00edbete a nuestro bolet\u00edn informativo<\/a> o visite nuestra <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/blog\/\">Blog<\/a> o <a href=\"http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Screener\">Evaluador<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-65925002-6290-4d3b-b5cd-f3a277851ec8\"><strong>\u00bfQuieres saber m\u00e1s sobre el servicio Quantpedia Premium? Consulta <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/how-it-works\/\">C\u00f3mo funciona Quantpedia<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Home\/About\">nuestra misi\u00f3n<\/a> y <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/pricing\/\">Oferta de precios premium<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-34bf63ae-5a22-40a3-aeb4-769374e833d8\"><strong>\u00bfQuieres saber m\u00e1s sobre el servicio Quantpedia Pro? Compru\u00e9balo <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/how-it-works\/quantpedia-pro\/\">descripci\u00f3n<\/a>, mirar <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/how-it-works\/quantpedia-explains\/\">videos<\/a>, revisar <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/how-it-works\/quantpedia-pro-reports\/\">capacidades de generaci\u00f3n de informes<\/a> y visite nuestro <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/pricing-pro\/\">oferta de precios<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-21942b3a-14d9-4c0f-b8ef-04d64675e253\"><strong>\u00bfBuscas datos hist\u00f3ricos o plataformas de backtesting? Consulta nuestra lista de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/links-tools\/?category=algo-trading-discounts\">Descuentos en Algo Trading<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u00bfTe gustar\u00eda tener acceso gratuito a? <a href=\"https:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/pricing\/\" title=\"\">nuestros servicios<\/a>? Entonces, <a href=\"https:\/\/lightspeed.com\/lp\/quantpedia-lightspeed-financial-services-group-one-free-year-promotion\" title=\"\">Abre una cuenta con Lightspeed.<\/a> y disfrute de un a\u00f1o de Quantpedia Premium sin costo alguno.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-4c45d6c9-c8dd-4283-8743-bf573cfa4d45\"><strong>O s\u00edguenos en:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-476e95ed-31a5-4c4d-b701-5203f9fb2e24\"><strong>Facebook <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/groups\/quantstrategies\">Grupo<\/a>, Facebook <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/quantpedia\/\">P\u00e1gina<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/quantpedia\">Gorjeo<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/quantpedia\">LinkedIn<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/quantpedia.medium.com\/\">Medio<\/a> o <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UC_YubnldxzNjLkIkEoL-FXg\">YouTube<\/a><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t<strong>Related to multiple commodity futures long\/short strategies, mainly to term-structure based strategies (like #22 &#8211; Term Structure Effect in Commodities) &#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Autores: <\/strong>Ghoddusi<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>T\u00edtulo: <\/strong>Maturity Structure of Commodity Roll Strategies: Evidence from the Energy Futures<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Link:<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2820228\">http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2820228<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Abstracto:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\t<font face=\"Myriad Roman, Arial, Helvetica, Sans-serif;\" size=\"2\">We investigate the maturity-structure of roll strategy returns in the energy futures markets. Our innovation is to report and analyze the risk\/return profile, the Sharpe ratio, and the asset pricing loadings of rollover strategies based on futures contracts of the same underlying commodity but with maturities between two and 12 months. We find that a conditional rollover strategy, which takes a long position in backwardation and a short position in contango, delivers the highest Sharpe ratio for all commodities. While we don&#39;t observe a significant difference in terms of asset pricing beta for different roll positions, the Sharpe ratio tends to be higher for contracts with a shorter time to maturity. We also report some distinct patterns of maturity-structure across energy commodities. Findings of the paper have implications for managing commodity-based investments.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Fragmentos destacados del art\u00edculo de investigaci\u00f3n acad\u00e9mica:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t&quot;The rollover (or roll) strategy includes entering a futures contract with a given time-to-maturity, holding the futures contracts for a certain time period (typically for one month), and then closing the position to realize the return generated by changes in the price of the underlying futures contract. The investor then opens a new futures contract position (with the same time-to-maturity as before) and repeats the strategy.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tThe main contribution of the current paper is to examine the performance of rollover strategies de&#xC;ned on futures contracts with di&#xB;fferent time-to-maturity or what we call maturity structure of roll yields. By allowing the investment strategy to enter and exit futures contracts beyond the front month and to hold the contract for a time shorter than its maturity, we construct the maturity structure and discuss its properties for the &#xC;ve selected commodities.<\/p>\n<p>\n\tWe document a monotonic relationship between the length of futures contracts and three key measures: the average return, the volatility of returns, and the Sharpe ratio. The results are robust for all commodities. The average return and volatility curves all decline with the length of the futures contract. However, the slope of the Sharpe ratio curve depends on the investment strategy chosen. For unconditional investment strategies the slope is positive, meaning that the further into the future the maturity date of the futures contracts, the higher is the Sharpe ratio. The relationship gets reversed when the investment position is conditioned on the slope of the forward curve.&quot;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Are you looking for more strategies to read about? Check <a href=\"http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Screener\">http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Screener<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Do you want to see performance of trading systems we described? Check<\/strong> <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Chart\/Performance\">http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Chart\/Performance<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Do you want to know more about us? Check<\/strong> <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Home\/About\">http:\/\/\\\/\\\/new-fmhwbzh6ghd9hede.swedencentral-01.azurewebsites.net\/Home\/About<\/a><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=696"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/696\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vvv.quantpedia.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}